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AI Markets

Live narrative intelligence terminal — tracking political signals, market pricing, and real-time trade opportunities
Narrative Core

Infrastructure targeting and Gulf energy disruption move center stage

Coverage window: Apr 03 3:00 AM ET → Apr 03 4:00 AM ET

This hour’s clearest narrative turn is from generalized regional spillover to more explicit focus on infrastructure strikes and Gulf energy vulnerability. Multiple items clustered around threats to destroy Iranian bridges and power plants, alongside unverified but fast-circulating claims tied to a downed U.S. F-35, indicating the conflict narrative is rotating toward strategic asset damage and escalation optics rather than only force-on-force exchanges. At the same time, reports of drones hitting Kuwait’s Mina al-Ahmadi refinery, with fires reported but no injuries, sharpen concern that energy infrastructure risk is no longer hypothetical or confined to transit chokepoints. The market-sensitive implication is broader than crude pricing alone: refined product flows, insurance costs, shipping behavior, and regional operating risk all come further into view. Separately, legal and political headlines in the U.S. and Cuba appeared but did not displace the conflict-driven agenda. Some of the most viral conflict claims in this window remain early, politically amplified, or unclear, so confirmation standards matter. Even so, the direction of travel is more evident: the story is widening from battlefield dynamics to deliberate economic and civilian-enabling infrastructure pressure.
Powered by AI narrative intelligence. We ingest live global news, generate a real-time briefing, and score prediction markets by narrative alignment, expected edge, and market strength.
Terminal Snapshot
Shift Level
Minor Shift
Score: 2
Action Bias
Hold
Narrative positioning
Best Bets
12
High conviction setups
Markets on Board
112
Filtered markets shown
Narrative Shift Detector
New topics: trump
Minor Shift
Hold
Shift score: 2
Daily trading plan
Open positions at 7 AM · Close at 7 PM

Best Bets for the Day

AI-identified opportunities where market pricing diverges from real-time narrative and momentum.

Best Bet YES Politics

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

YES
25
NO
75
EDGE
0.09
SCORE
19
Volume
18,178,360
Liquidity
775,729
Best Bet YES World

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

YES
24
NO
76
EDGE
0.09
SCORE
19
Volume
12,968,037
Liquidity
513,691
Best Bet YES Other

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

YES
12
NO
88
EDGE
0.09
SCORE
19
Volume
9,782,167
Liquidity
1,033,780
Best Bet YES World

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

YES
10
NO
90
EDGE
0.09
SCORE
17
Volume
14,672,060
Liquidity
536,279
Best Bet YES Politics

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YES
6
NO
94
EDGE
0.09
SCORE
17
Volume
10,548,946
Liquidity
508,729
Best Bet YES World

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

YES
30
NO
70
EDGE
0.07
SCORE
15
Volume
12,439,734
Liquidity
489,540
Best Bet YES Politics

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YES
18
NO
82
EDGE
0.07
SCORE
15
Volume
9,631,942
Liquidity
823,250
Best Bet YES Other

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

YES
88
NO
12
EDGE
0.07
SCORE
15
Volume
8,220,427
Liquidity
628,635
Best Bet YES Politics

Trump out as President before 2027?

YES
14
NO
86
EDGE
0.07
SCORE
15
Volume
5,752,259
Liquidity
649,492
Best Bet YES Other

Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

YES
33
NO
67
EDGE
0.07
SCORE
15
Volume
1,735,911
Liquidity
554,352
Best Bet YES Other

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

YES
34
NO
66
EDGE
0.07
SCORE
15
Volume
1,414,115
Liquidity
888,516
Best Bet YES Other

Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?

YES
8
NO
92
EDGE
0.07
SCORE
13
Volume
3,219,441
Liquidity
741,626

All Bets Board

Default view: Politics markets.
Full market board sorted by signal strength.
MARKET CATEGORY SCORE STATUS YES NO EDGE LIQUIDITY VOLUME OPEN
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 19 Best Bet YES 25 75 0.09 775,729 18,178,360 Open
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Politics 17 Best Bet YES 6 94 0.09 508,729 10,548,946 Open
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Politics 15 Best Bet YES 18 82 0.07 823,250 9,631,942 Open
Trump out as President before 2027? Politics 15 Best Bet YES 14 86 0.07 649,492 5,752,259 Open
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics 13 Best Bet YES 37 63 0.05 351,376 8,962,235 Open
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Politics 13 Best Bet YES 16 84 0.05 454,163 8,761,430 Open
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics 13 Best Bet YES 21 79 0.05 397,043 6,821,832 Open
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 11 Best Bet YES 8 92 0.05 479,863 7,327,085 Open
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 11 Best Bet YES 5 95 0.05 374,259 7,255,257 Open
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 659,085 44,851,355 Open
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 569,531 43,945,337 Open
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,579,579 43,656,435 Open
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,203,056 42,965,333 Open
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 2,234,616 40,135,937 Open
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,905,760 39,018,633 Open
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,688,414 38,798,814 Open
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,624,472 38,149,985 Open
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 719,306 37,622,310 Open
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,310,963 37,275,985 Open
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,235,822 35,705,270 Open
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,056,352 34,291,774 Open
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 905,330 34,133,482 Open
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,747,828 34,023,844 Open
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,029,859 33,683,088 Open
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,755,053 33,642,589 Open
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,397,645 33,288,047 Open
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,057,271 32,661,632 Open
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,271,648 32,065,935 Open
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,524,074 31,547,736 Open
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,325,305 29,696,226 Open
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,189,226 29,506,012 Open
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,395,731 29,411,056 Open
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,391,823 28,725,224 Open
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 799,486 28,687,448 Open
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,226,315 28,678,360 Open
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,429,330 28,303,492 Open
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,525,884 28,080,447 Open
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,122,012 27,474,859 Open
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,914,449 26,431,690 Open
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 837,011 26,374,394 Open
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,392,866 25,481,334 Open
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,547,384 24,666,123 Open
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,012,096 23,673,862 Open
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,165,358 23,576,221 Open
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,180,847 22,991,895 Open
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,118,303 22,217,270 Open
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,396,085 22,130,114 Open
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,146,598 22,090,373 Open
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,191,027 21,601,121 Open
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,532,993 21,261,498 Open
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 857,136 20,034,042 Open
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 406,611 19,907,834 Open
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,153,374 18,061,068 Open
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,132,953 17,601,938 Open
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 887,047 17,198,865 Open
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 981,408 16,704,992 Open
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 547,964 16,306,516 Open
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 546,442 16,203,253 Open
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 547,536 16,010,928 Open
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 796,333 15,435,628 Open
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,328,530 15,291,283 Open
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 540,763 14,673,477 Open
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 530,565 14,536,559 Open
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 627,313 13,842,696 Open
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,492,525 13,419,182 Open
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 580,291 13,273,102 Open
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 797,618 12,956,311 Open
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 389,394 12,916,228 Open
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 404,271 11,932,919 Open
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,250,720 11,848,037 Open
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 952,322 11,808,377 Open
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 899,497 11,520,851 Open
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 928,400 11,268,410 Open
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,171,511 11,170,409 Open
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,299,707 10,618,214 Open
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 367,070 10,455,461 Open
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 468,134 9,693,220 Open
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 268,860 9,611,617 Open
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 965,224 9,186,736 Open
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 393,809 9,050,804 Open
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 433,591 9,000,884 Open
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,123,220 8,642,668 Open
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 836,283 7,877,043 Open
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 469,354 7,490,911 Open
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 289,664 7,446,262 Open
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 616,020 7,423,403 Open
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 522,224 7,412,476 Open
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 624,452 7,390,709 Open
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 544,678 6,707,287 Open
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 322,157 6,661,319 Open
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 686,615 6,525,277 Open
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 562,971 6,125,202 Open
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,310,292 6,028,260 Open
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 443,793 6,007,862 Open
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 482,527 5,966,797 Open
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 100,355 5,959,543 Open
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,067,492 5,846,023 Open
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 411,253 5,755,396 Open
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 274,631 5,678,090 Open
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Politics 0 Avoid 5 95 0 1,542,571 5,605,987 Open

Performance

Public paper-trading track record based on opened and closed daily picks.

Closed Trades
0
Completed paper trades
Wins
0
Positive P&L trades
Losses
0
Negative P&L trades
Win Rate
0.0%
Closed trade accuracy
Total P&L
$0.00
Aggregate dollars
Avg Trade
$0.00
Average per closed trade